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obama won each debate by double digits accor according to gallup polling and won by by 33 points. the president's team expected romney to be well prepared, playing up advantages for romney. debate and the first debate, favor challengers. >> senior romney a visor offered the g.o.p. debate spin in a memo to reporters -- regardless of who comes out on the top in the debate we amount afford another four years on the last four years. >> make a decision on what they believe is in the best interest of the country and their family. i expect to describe it in a way people understand. if i do, i get elected. >> romney spends the weekend in boston and flies to denver on monday. he has no public campaign activities planned. it's all private for the face-off. important of how important romney thinks it will be. >> bret: okay. see you in colorado. virginia base strategic allied consulting accused to submitting 100 questionable registration in seven countie counties. spokesperson says it's trying to find out how broad the scope of the problem is. the company says the form came from one person wh
obama won each debate by double digits accor according to gallup polling and won by by 33 points. the president's team expected romney to be well prepared, playing up advantages for romney. debate and the first debate, favor challengers. >> senior romney a visor offered the g.o.p. debate spin in a memo to reporters -- regardless of who comes out on the top in the debate we amount afford another four years on the last four years. >> make a decision on what they believe is in the best...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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"times" poll has obama up by 10 over romney. 53%, 43%. however, in the rasmussen daily tracking poll, the national survey, the race is tied. a dead heat 46% 46%. on this day four years ago, rasmussen had mr. obama up by 5 points over john mccain. 50%, 45%. a case could be made that mitt romney is doing better than john mccain did. but that might be misleading. the presidential race is going to come down to just a handful of states ohio and florida being the most important governor romney plus win in both places that's why today's polling news is causing controversy. talking points has said from the very beginning that the debates this year will be the deciding factor one week from tonight in denver, colorado, the president will meet the governor at :00 p.m. eastern time. no question and all the polls show this that most americans are not happy with president obama's leadership, especially on the economy. many of the folks don't trust mitt romney. however, if the governor can do what ronald reagan did in 1980, that is keep the incumbent pr
"times" poll has obama up by 10 over romney. 53%, 43%. however, in the rasmussen daily tracking poll, the national survey, the race is tied. a dead heat 46% 46%. on this day four years ago, rasmussen had mr. obama up by 5 points over john mccain. 50%, 45%. a case could be made that mitt romney is doing better than john mccain did. but that might be misleading. the presidential race is going to come down to just a handful of states ohio and florida being the most important governor...
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Oct 1, 2012
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in ohio last week, we had cbs/"new york times" poll saying ten points for obama. and a columbus dispatch poll saying nine points. frank newport the head of the gallup organization had a blog posting that was revealing. he said you have to subject the state polls to the judgment of experience. he said for example, take ohio. the president won there by less than five points last time around. this time around, the poll that said he is winning by ten, does it make sense he would do twice as well, the margin is twice as big this time around than it was in 2008 when everybody is pointing to closer election than in 2008. of course not. it doesn't make sense. take this with the nevada and ohio shifts because of outlier polls. p.p.p. interestingly enough had a poll that was the outlier in nevada, plus nine for obama. then two polls in ohio. as a result they move it across the line from tossup to lean obama. i would say this, though. step back just a little bit and look at the arch since april. president obama has gone from 220 solid states, electoral college votes to 196 t
in ohio last week, we had cbs/"new york times" poll saying ten points for obama. and a columbus dispatch poll saying nine points. frank newport the head of the gallup organization had a blog posting that was revealing. he said you have to subject the state polls to the judgment of experience. he said for example, take ohio. the president won there by less than five points last time around. this time around, the poll that said he is winning by ten, does it make sense he would do twice...
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Sep 28, 2012
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he said he can't understand how president obama is polling so well. in the face of all the bad news that there is in america, how the president floats above it. that why i did the likeability segment before you. i believe that because of social media -- i could be wrong here -- because of the addiction that many americans have to the computer, to the gaming, to the escapism we're not a country that is on it anymore. >> these understanding of issues today is kind to some extent out the window. we ingest news and 30 seconds bites and coming to our cellphone and maybe on our computer screen. people want to know quickly. people make very quick reads on things. that is why, i got a lot of heat at the end of june when i said romney get off the jet ski and get into framing himself before he is negatively framed by the obama people. i knew invariably they were going to come out with types of late hits, whether it's a video or some other type of thing from his corporate past where they were going to try to frame him as a rich guy. bill, you are exactly right.
he said he can't understand how president obama is polling so well. in the face of all the bad news that there is in america, how the president floats above it. that why i did the likeability segment before you. i believe that because of social media -- i could be wrong here -- because of the addiction that many americans have to the computer, to the gaming, to the escapism we're not a country that is on it anymore. >> these understanding of issues today is kind to some extent out the...
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Sep 27, 2012
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i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50% annual bonus. and everyone likes 50% more [ russian accent ] rubles. eh, eheh, eh, eh. [ brooklyn accent ] 50% more simoleons. [ western accent ] 50% more sawbucks. ♪ [ maine accent ] 50% more clams. it's a lobster, either way. [ male annncer ] the capital one cash rewards card. with a 50% annual cash bonus, it's the card for people who like more cash. [ italian accent ] 50% more dough! what's in your wallet? >> dana: in 2008, then candidate obama thought trillions of dollars of debt was unpatriotic is what he said. once inaugurated in 2009
i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50%...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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new poll has president obama leading mitt romney 49 to 45. the president's lead is primarily due to women voters. they're breaking for him 56-2 right now. while men favor romney 52-42. no question the obama campaign is targeting the ladies. >> i find such a champion in president obama and which is why i passionately support him, specifically because i'm a woman. >> he also has the story that i can tell my daughter because it shows that no matter where you start out, you can work hard and you can do whatever you put your mind to. >> it's a story that touches me and one that is very familiar to me with how i was raised, you know, and our mom was a single parent. she had spectacular dreams for herself and us girls. >> bill: with us now, fox news analyst monica crowley and alan colmes. where are women breaking for the president? >> barak obama is leeing hugely among unmarried women, but among married women, romney is actually leading by 6 to 8 points. that being said, the president does have overall a big lead among women and i think it's largely
new poll has president obama leading mitt romney 49 to 45. the president's lead is primarily due to women voters. they're breaking for him 56-2 right now. while men favor romney 52-42. no question the obama campaign is targeting the ladies. >> i find such a champion in president obama and which is why i passionately support him, specifically because i'm a woman. >> he also has the story that i can tell my daughter because it shows that no matter where you start out, you can work...
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Sep 26, 2012
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the polls show obama inching out with a lead. in one poll it's a 9-point advantage. the romney campaign says they have a bias for mr. obama because it's based on the 2008 turnout. they say that has been obliterated by the 2010 mid-term. megyn: let's look at this key battle ground state. although unemployment is lower here, the recovery has been uneven. what are ohio voters saying about the road ahead. bill hemmer is co-anchor of america's newsroom and he's an ohio native so he knows a thing or two about that state. >> reporter: this is confounding. you can go to southeastern ohio weren't unemployment rate is 13%. in northwestern ohio it's 4%. we met brad much inon. he chases the american dream with a lot of determination and a high school diploma. he employs 90 people in the tiny town of caroll. he laid off 7 people in part because he doesn't know what the laws will be out of washington. >> there were a lot of jobs slated to start and guys just put the brakes on. a lot of what we are hearing from the industry, it's due to this election. >> reporter: he says because o
the polls show obama inching out with a lead. in one poll it's a 9-point advantage. the romney campaign says they have a bias for mr. obama because it's based on the 2008 turnout. they say that has been obliterated by the 2010 mid-term. megyn: let's look at this key battle ground state. although unemployment is lower here, the recovery has been uneven. what are ohio voters saying about the road ahead. bill hemmer is co-anchor of america's newsroom and he's an ohio native so he knows a thing or...
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Sep 26, 2012
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i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid does. and does it launch apps by voice while learning your voice ? launch cab4me. droid does. keep left at the fork. does it do turn-by-turn navigation ? droid does. with verizon, america's largest 4g lte network, and motorola, droid does. get $100 off select motorola 4g lte smartphones like the droid razr. >> dana: in 2008, then candidate obama thought trillions of dollars of debt was unpatriotic is what he said. once inaugurated in 2009, he promised the american people he would deal with the deficit problem. listen. >> we now have over
i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid...
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Oct 3, 2012
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the "wall street journal"/nbc poll puts the race at 4% for president obama. vi% for governor romney. if you look at the real clear politics average of polls, this is roughly about that from september 25 to octobe october 2. if you go to the "wall street journal" poll about the economy, approval, how is president obama doing handling the economy? vi% approve. 51% disapprove. brit, while right track/wrong track is narrowing there is still real negative numbers in the polls for president obama. >> well, for romney to have a chance, there better be. because that is the issue that is central. he had been gaining ground on the issue in a way a lot of people thought wasn't possible. if he has begun to retreat, romney needs that to happen. he needs to emerge from the whole campaign, the debates part of them as the person with the ability and the stronger plan for the economy. because this is not an economy that people find to their liking. not agreeable to people. that is where romney needs to be strong. >> bret: chuck, their target audience tonight? >> maybe state o
the "wall street journal"/nbc poll puts the race at 4% for president obama. vi% for governor romney. if you look at the real clear politics average of polls, this is roughly about that from september 25 to octobe october 2. if you go to the "wall street journal" poll about the economy, approval, how is president obama doing handling the economy? vi% approve. 51% disapprove. brit, while right track/wrong track is narrowing there is still real negative numbers in the polls for...
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Sep 30, 2012
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president obama is leading in the polls but can mitt romney turn it around? we'll ask john kasich. just call him the 10% president. that is what he spiax responsibility for the deficit and libya is still raising more questions for the white house. it could have been stopped? >> paul: welcome to the journal editorial report. i'm paul gigot. you'll eyes were on ohio this week as they both hit the buckeye state hard. hoping to put 18 electoral votes in their col >> paul: politics poll real lot of attention to polls because it depends on what they take and the sample. these guys have been in ohio and they should start paying income tax. this thing is as close can be they both wouldn't be here. i expect this to go down to the wire. we are always a swing state. it will be very close. >> paul: so the democrats are saying one of big things that is helping the spent the auto bailout. is that how you lead to to help the president? >> look, we're up 123,000 jobs over the last year and three-quarters. we're actually according to the bureau of labor statistics down 500 jobs, auto jobs in ohio.
president obama is leading in the polls but can mitt romney turn it around? we'll ask john kasich. just call him the 10% president. that is what he spiax responsibility for the deficit and libya is still raising more questions for the white house. it could have been stopped? >> paul: welcome to the journal editorial report. i'm paul gigot. you'll eyes were on ohio this week as they both hit the buckeye state hard. hoping to put 18 electoral votes in their col >> paul: politics poll...
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Sep 30, 2012
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if you can cite a poll showing the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it, then you can really pile on and say, wow, this race is over. look, early voting has begun in more than 20 stiah and 25% of the vote is actually determined by those early voters. you can make a case for doing precisely what kirsten warned about which is prejudge the outcome. >> rick: conservative people are not happy about the polls. a lot of polls are being talked about being weighted about news consumer listening to your pearls of wisdom. how should they interpret. >> if you are curious for another take, go to unskewed.com about the poles. pat gidell who is not a republican and was a pollster says look, what the media are doing is hitting hard spending their own money and spending a lot of money in polls in virginia, ohio. clearly where whener obama is clobbering romney. you are eight points up. it's not completely wrong but clearly intended to create a bandwagon on an effect that romney is a goner. >> rick: do you agree with cal that we're going to hear stories by a tightening of t
if you can cite a poll showing the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it, then you can really pile on and say, wow, this race is over. look, early voting has begun in more than 20 stiah and 25% of the vote is actually determined by those early voters. you can make a case for doing precisely what kirsten warned about which is prejudge the outcome. >> rick: conservative people are not happy about the polls. a lot of polls are being talked about being weighted...
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Sep 29, 2012
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will that be the case this year too or can president obama turn these polls around? trey i'll start with you. >> you don't have to have military service to run for president. i've done a lot of political work in virginia it is a preference among veterans. neither of these candidates have it, no one started off with an advantage. for this voting demographic it comes down to trust in leadership. measuring stick, with mitt romney they don't have a lot to go on, other than his words and the fact that he's a leader of a party that has owned the military vote. for barack obama, there are clear examples of his ineptitude as commander in chief and certainly from recent events in the mideast. >> heather: kristi, your response? >> it is important to remember as we said that the veterans' vote typically skews republicans, because veterans are typically white male, often in southern or rural areas. the real question is why mitt romney is not doing better? yes he has significant margins. if you looked at in 2004, george bush running against a decorated war hero in john kerry and
will that be the case this year too or can president obama turn these polls around? trey i'll start with you. >> you don't have to have military service to run for president. i've done a lot of political work in virginia it is a preference among veterans. neither of these candidates have it, no one started off with an advantage. for this voting demographic it comes down to trust in leadership. measuring stick, with mitt romney they don't have a lot to go on, other than his words and the...
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with just five weeks until election day and new polls showing president obama leading in key swing states, the presidential debates may be mitt romney's last best chance to turn this race around. and so we wanted to find out what the romney/ryan plan is when they face off against obama and biden. we caught up with running mate paul ryan saturday in new hampshire. before we sat down for an exclusive interview, we spoke briefly as he was about to it take the stage for a campaign town hall. >> what do you think just before you go out on stage each time? >> president obama is taking us in the wrong direction. mitt romney and i are offering them a different direction and i'm excited at the opportunity to give people the chance to pick that choice. that is what gets me excited about this. >> thank you so much for coming out, everybody. >> chris: congressman, welcome back to "fox news sunday." >> great to be back with you, chris. welcome to new hampshire. >> chris: thank you. what does governor romney need to do wednesday night in the first debate? >> he needs to give the american people the cho
with just five weeks until election day and new polls showing president obama leading in key swing states, the presidential debates may be mitt romney's last best chance to turn this race around. and so we wanted to find out what the romney/ryan plan is when they face off against obama and biden. we caught up with running mate paul ryan saturday in new hampshire. before we sat down for an exclusive interview, we spoke briefly as he was about to it take the stage for a campaign town hall....
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Sep 28, 2012
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i oppose president obama war on poll and fossil fuels. big mistake and it has cost americans livelihood and jobs. shame on you. >> greg: shame on you, kimberly. coming up, president obama camp says women don't care about wha what happened in the last four years but that's not what ann romney is hearing on the campaign trail. if you leave now, andrea will set fire to eric's chest hair. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] if you had a dollar for every dollar car insurance companies say they'll save yoby switching, you'd have like, a ton of dollars. but how are they saving you those dollars? a lot of companies might answer "um" or, "no comment." then there's esurance. born online, raised by technology, and majors in efficiency. so whatever they save, you save. hassle, time, paperwork, hair-tearing-out, and yes, especially dollars. esurance. insurance for the modern world. click or call. we send it back to new york and "the five." ♪ ♪ >> kimberly: so, do women care about what is happening to america in the last four years? apparently not. accordin
i oppose president obama war on poll and fossil fuels. big mistake and it has cost americans livelihood and jobs. shame on you. >> greg: shame on you, kimberly. coming up, president obama camp says women don't care about wha what happened in the last four years but that's not what ann romney is hearing on the campaign trail. if you leave now, andrea will set fire to eric's chest hair. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] if you had a dollar for every dollar car insurance companies say they'll save...
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Sep 30, 2012
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for example, there are are two polls that show president obama in the lead in florida. the washington post poll has the president up by four points. 51 to 47. but the new york times poll has the president up by 9 points, 53-44. same state. two very different numbers. with me to explain all of this to you and me is former pollster are for president clinton and fox news contributor doug schoen. good evening, doug. >> good evening, judge. pleased to be here. >> judge jeanine: explain this to me? >> first it has to do with sample composition. the poll with the larger lead had more democrats. the poll with the smaller lead had fewer democrats. a bigger undecided. means that in fact that there is more per situation in the electorate. bottom line with one poll having the president 51 and 53 would i as a professional draw from it is the president's own vote is probably in the low 50s. the rest of vote is either undecided or with governor romney. undecided, judge, tend to break against the incumbent. >> so the president would assume even that one is four and the other is nine th
for example, there are are two polls that show president obama in the lead in florida. the washington post poll has the president up by four points. 51 to 47. but the new york times poll has the president up by 9 points, 53-44. same state. two very different numbers. with me to explain all of this to you and me is former pollster are for president clinton and fox news contributor doug schoen. good evening, doug. >> good evening, judge. pleased to be here. >> judge jeanine: explain...
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Sep 26, 2012
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another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing state polling it looks like the race has tipped in his direction for the time being. >>neil: could we have a split view of this, a 2000 deal where the popular vote going one way, and that is tight. again, this depends on the poll. the swing state polls, then, not nearly so tight, for now? i stress, for now. could you see that as a possibility? >>guest: not at the moment. look, that is always a possible. if the race -- it is the fundamental of this race that are reasserted and it tightens to the end which most people expect it to do, we could see a lot the swing states getting in position where you can create scenarios where you can end up with an electoral tie or something very close along those lines. right now, though, for the moment, the race looks like mitt romney is slipping and obama is in front. >>neil: i was talking about an easy electoral win to the president if you buy the polls, and i don't, but the popular vote is tight.
another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing state polling it looks like the race has tipped in his direction for the time being. >>neil: could we have a split view of this, a 2000 deal where the popular vote going one way, and that is tight. again, this depends on the poll. the swing state polls, then, not nearly so tight, for now? i stress, for now. could you see that as a...
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Sep 27, 2012
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they have all these polls with obama running away with this. people blow a gasket on the left if romney wins. they're also early voting going on right now. we know that this stuff is not reported to reflect opinion, they're trying to shape opinion with these polls. >> greta: is rush right? are these polls slanted toward democrats and toward president obama? let's bring in our expert panel. steve, first to you. number one, are the polls slanted in number two, the second part of the question, does that suppress the vote? >> look, i think if you're just looking at "the new york times"/cbs poll, you believe everything you see in the polling of florida and ohio today, the results that came out today, yes, i think they oversampled democrats. i don't think there's any question about it. it would mean a record turnout in those states to produce the kinds of results we saw. now that doesn't mean these polls are useless. if there's consistent oversampling inside a poll, like the cbs/"new york times" poll has been, plus eight or nine for democrats, so you
they have all these polls with obama running away with this. people blow a gasket on the left if romney wins. they're also early voting going on right now. we know that this stuff is not reported to reflect opinion, they're trying to shape opinion with these polls. >> greta: is rush right? are these polls slanted toward democrats and toward president obama? let's bring in our expert panel. steve, first to you. number one, are the polls slanted in number two, the second part of the...
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i oppose president obama war on poll and fossil fuels. big mistake and it has cost americans livelihood and jobs. shame on you. >> greg: shame on you, kimberly. coming up, president obama camp says women don't care about wha what happened in the last four years but that's not what ann romney is hearing on the campaign trail. if you leave now, andrea will set fire to eric's chest hair. ♪ ♪ so you say men are superior drivers? yeah. then how'd i get this... [ voice of dennis ] ...safe driving bonus check? every six months without an accident, allstate sends a check. ok. [ voice of dennis ] silence. are you in good hands? >> announcer: this is the day. the day that we say to the world of identity thieves "enough." we're lifelock, and we believe you have the right to live free from the fear of identity theft. our pledge to you? as long as there are identity thieves, we'll be there. we're lifelock. and we offer the most comprehensive identity theft protection ever created. lifelock: relentlessly protecting your identity. call 1-800-lifeloc
i oppose president obama war on poll and fossil fuels. big mistake and it has cost americans livelihood and jobs. shame on you. >> greg: shame on you, kimberly. coming up, president obama camp says women don't care about wha what happened in the last four years but that's not what ann romney is hearing on the campaign trail. if you leave now, andrea will set fire to eric's chest hair. ♪ ♪ so you say men are superior drivers? yeah. then how'd i get this... [ voice of dennis ] ...safe...
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Sep 26, 2012
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and yet losing the net poll to president obama. does not make sense. >> steve: well, joe trippi was on our air in the last 24 hours and he talked a little about how the polls are skewed, yet there is something the republicans have to do. listen to joe. >> it's true that 2012 will be different than 2008. but it's also true that if you tried to base your 2008 models off of 2004, that wouldn't have worked either. if i were the republicans, i would look at this as a big warning sign. good news, it's 40 days out or so. so you've got time to do something about it. if you start to deny, deny does not change the problem. >> steve: okay. he's a democrat and he wants his guy to win. what do you make of that? >> look, he's right, you have to model your own turnout, make your own assumptions. we have professionals who do this for a living. i always say we live in reality, not reality tv. and the fact is in terms of our ground game, our targing of voters, in a state like ohio where obviously both governor romney and paul ryan are today, we feel
and yet losing the net poll to president obama. does not make sense. >> steve: well, joe trippi was on our air in the last 24 hours and he talked a little about how the polls are skewed, yet there is something the republicans have to do. listen to joe. >> it's true that 2012 will be different than 2008. but it's also true that if you tried to base your 2008 models off of 2004, that wouldn't have worked either. if i were the republicans, i would look at this as a big warning sign....
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jon: looking at "real clear politics" average of the polls taken last week, president obama leads 4.6 to 45.1 in virginia. that leaves about 6% undecided. where do those undecideds go? >> yeah, this is the real key question because all of this, particularly in virginia will hinge on turnout. northern virginia has seen a population explosion. demographics which dictate there is advantage for democrats undoubtedly in that part of the state. the question then is for the obama campaign how do you get those voters out? can you get those voters out at the same level you did in 2008 when democrats were successful turning virginia blue for first time since 1964. so turnout will be a huge question. not only for president obama in the northern part of the state but also for mitt romney because he's got to pump upturnout in some of the more republican leaning areas of the state. so that's why again why you see the time being spent there. that's why you see the ground game and field efforts of both campaigns up and down across the state. jon: last question and we'll be talking about this later in
jon: looking at "real clear politics" average of the polls taken last week, president obama leads 4.6 to 45.1 in virginia. that leaves about 6% undecided. where do those undecideds go? >> yeah, this is the real key question because all of this, particularly in virginia will hinge on turnout. northern virginia has seen a population explosion. demographics which dictate there is advantage for democrats undoubtedly in that part of the state. the question then is for the obama...
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Sep 30, 2012
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>>gregg: this poll shows president obama at 49 and 44 and that can chain instantly. some of the media have written governor romney's obituary, this is premature. >> the media polls, the mainstream media uses the state polls like the new form of negative advertising. other negative campaigning against romney. the news organizations that are broke are spending thousands and thousands on the state polls each week to show, to push obama. look, the fact is, gallup has us five, and doug is right. rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have. obama at 265, five shy of what you have to get and romney at 191. i would say the polls and that
>>gregg: this poll shows president obama at 49 and 44 and that can chain instantly. some of the media have written governor romney's obituary, this is premature. >> the media polls, the mainstream media uses the state polls like the new form of negative advertising. other negative campaigning against romney. the news organizations that are broke are spending thousands and thousands on the state polls each week to show, to push obama. look, the fact is, gallup has us five, and doug...
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Oct 1, 2012
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if you look at the new "washington post" poll, obama is leading on almost every issue. romney only leads on handling the deficit but the two are split on the economy. obama is leading on medicare, health care. people find his international policies doing a little bit better, as well. the romney campaign is trying to cut into the margins and what has been obama's strength, to bring that down ahead of the debate on wednesday which will focus on domestic policy which is interesting that romney is going after foreign policy this week. >>shepard: i found it interesting, as well, but based on what has happened the last couple of weeks, i guess governor romney and his team think we have an opportunity here, why not seize it? >>guest: absolutely. we saw the op-ed today from romney. that's a point of weakness for obama at this point. so the romney campaign will go after that. foreign policy will be a big issue with only a little over a month to go. >>shepard: thank you, great to see you. >> administration folks are trying to figure out how the deadly attacks in benghazi occurred
if you look at the new "washington post" poll, obama is leading on almost every issue. romney only leads on handling the deficit but the two are split on the economy. obama is leading on medicare, health care. people find his international policies doing a little bit better, as well. the romney campaign is trying to cut into the margins and what has been obama's strength, to bring that down ahead of the debate on wednesday which will focus on domestic policy which is interesting that...
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Sep 28, 2012
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polls in swing states showing president obama pulling ahead of governor mitt romney, but not so fast. dick morris, author of new book "here come the black helicopters" has something to say about the polls. he joins us. nice to see you, dick. dick, you may be perhaps the only one who's saying that these polls suggest that governor romney is winning. please tell me how you arrive at that. >> sure. well, karl rove i think has some thoughts like that. let me go through it. what's going on now is these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino and young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. not the normal level, which you had in '04, '00, '06 and so on. the pollsters are awaiting the data to assume you have that level. so, for example, in 2008, 14% of the vote was cast by african americans. in 2004, in all the other years, only 11% was. in 2010, only 11% was. so what the pollsters is doing is weighting up the number of black interviews, giving them more weight so that they account for 14% of the sample, not 11%. for young people, they historically
polls in swing states showing president obama pulling ahead of governor mitt romney, but not so fast. dick morris, author of new book "here come the black helicopters" has something to say about the polls. he joins us. nice to see you, dick. dick, you may be perhaps the only one who's saying that these polls suggest that governor romney is winning. please tell me how you arrive at that. >> sure. well, karl rove i think has some thoughts like that. let me go through it. what's...
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Oct 2, 2012
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definitely 43% in the rasmussen poll say yes for romney only 42 for barack obama. i believe if mitt romney does well and can sting the president like ronald reagan stung jimmy carter that he will immediately become the frontrunner and the so-called swings states will tighten up. most of them anyway. florida particularly will. that's my analysis right now. >> i think these state races probably will tighten but that's what happens in the final weeks of a campaign. races tend to tighten. this will be a closer race in all likelihood as we get closer to election day one senses though that look an incumbent running with a record like this with the economy in such serious shape many people predicting recession with all this trouble he he has been having overseas, with all of that he he ought to be in a lot of trouble. it's surprising to many people that he is ahead. we keep thinking something will happen. is he is not a great politician but seems honorable and decent enough man that if the people were ready to make a change they would not have a lot of trouble settling on
definitely 43% in the rasmussen poll say yes for romney only 42 for barack obama. i believe if mitt romney does well and can sting the president like ronald reagan stung jimmy carter that he will immediately become the frontrunner and the so-called swings states will tighten up. most of them anyway. florida particularly will. that's my analysis right now. >> i think these state races probably will tighten but that's what happens in the final weeks of a campaign. races tend to tighten....
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Sep 26, 2012
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that the polls are skewed toward president obama. what he is doing on the stump now, is it different from what he was doing? enough of change of message? winning formula to turn it around? >> he has to change the pitch on the stump. i don't think it's enough of a change to couner the potency of the 47% video that is part of the president stump speech. if he wants to win the presidency he has to campaign like polls are correct. if he doesn't win ohio and virginia there is a tight sweep to presidency to 270 for him. florida, iowa, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. he is behind in a bunch of them. he has 40 days to do it. a lot of work outside debate. you can't gamble on that. being in ohio is bad news. >> bret: there are some republicans who say listen, it's actually, we don't want to be at this point. but there is something about being behind that would wake people up to say wait a second, we're behind. motivate the troops. the battleground polls, you have to say there oversampling aside he is trailing. >> people are trying to explain away
that the polls are skewed toward president obama. what he is doing on the stump now, is it different from what he was doing? enough of change of message? winning formula to turn it around? >> he has to change the pitch on the stump. i don't think it's enough of a change to couner the potency of the 47% video that is part of the president stump speech. if he wants to win the presidency he has to campaign like polls are correct. if he doesn't win ohio and virginia there is a tight sweep to...
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stay the course with president obama or go with governor romney. brand new fox polling shows this. a largely percentage of the likely voters believe the country's policies need to change. governor mike huckabee, former governor of arkansas and host of "huckabee". what does that tell you? >> it shows how dissatisfied people are. when you get to 75%, who is the 25% who thinks we're doing things right? where do they get their information? but it's bad news because it shows that this is not a partisan divide. you have independents, democrats and republicans that have to somehow make up that 75%. so it's clear whatever the policies are of the obama administration, they're not popular. bill: when you look at this phrase, many policies, that could be a number about of things in all honesty. >> sure. bill: what i think it tells you more than anything people are not happy. that goes to kind of a right track wrong track thing. >> why would they be happy? gasoline prices are twice what they were. national debt is skyrocketed to a point where they know they're hering. real earning power is dow
stay the course with president obama or go with governor romney. brand new fox polling shows this. a largely percentage of the likely voters believe the country's policies need to change. governor mike huckabee, former governor of arkansas and host of "huckabee". what does that tell you? >> it shows how dissatisfied people are. when you get to 75%, who is the 25% who thinks we're doing things right? where do they get their information? but it's bad news because it shows that...
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some of the national polls are showing it tied up or president obama ahead by a point or so. who is spurring him to that lead? >> that's a very good question. i was researching this this morning and trying to connect the dots. at the end of the day when you look at paul ryan's plan which mitt romney says he agrees with, but not 10 pores. when you look at what mitt romney wants to do in the united states as president and wants to run it like he did his company. and if you look at we did in massachusetts when he was governor, clearly romney's policies benefit the rich. i understand the frustration with the economy and not being as optimistic about the economy and being angry and wanting to blame the president. but the alternative is worse for the middle class when they look at the actual numbers. megyn: politico reports 54% of the total american electorate is the middle class -- usually their vote is split count middle. not this time around. >> maybe they are actually listen together results from massachusetts where he took the state from an expected large deficit to a surplus
some of the national polls are showing it tied up or president obama ahead by a point or so. who is spurring him to that lead? >> that's a very good question. i was researching this this morning and trying to connect the dots. at the end of the day when you look at paul ryan's plan which mitt romney says he agrees with, but not 10 pores. when you look at what mitt romney wants to do in the united states as president and wants to run it like he did his company. and if you look at we did in...
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Sep 29, 2012
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the rasmussen daily tracking poll today has mr. obama up by 1%, 47%, to 46% over mitt romney. in the 11 swing states that will decide the election, rasmussen has the race tied 46% 46%. 3% remain undecided in the swing states. that's much closer than most of the other polling which talking points exposed earlier this week as being heavily weighted to the democratic side. we here are putting our trust in rasmussen this year because that outfit was the most accurate polling center in 2008. american society is changing rapidly with social media dominating the lives of many citizens and bitter partisanship on both sides backed by billions of dollars. just today we learned that our pal george soros is ponying up close to $2 million to help the president. that kind of money talks. and what it says will not be complimentary to mitt romney. the governor has the economic stats on his side. but it's clear that he and paul ryan still have not convinced the casual voter that they can improve the economy. mr. romney's moment will come next wednesday in denver when he confronts mr. obama in
the rasmussen daily tracking poll today has mr. obama up by 1%, 47%, to 46% over mitt romney. in the 11 swing states that will decide the election, rasmussen has the race tied 46% 46%. 3% remain undecided in the swing states. that's much closer than most of the other polling which talking points exposed earlier this week as being heavily weighted to the democratic side. we here are putting our trust in rasmussen this year because that outfit was the most accurate polling center in 2008....
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a new fox news poll showing president obama with a five-point lead nationally. 48-43%. unchanged from earlier in month and within the margin of error but a significant shift from before the convention. >> 136,000 jobs will be lost in virginia. >> if f the candidate is getting anxious, you wouldn't know it. as he hammered president obama as defense cut in looming sequestration of the american legion post. >> it's still a troubled and dangerous world. the idea of cutting our military commitment by a trillion dollars over this decade is unthinkable. and de stating. when i become -- steve dating anpresident wewill stop it. i won't cut money to the military. >> he picked support of medal of honor recipients tonight. last night in ohio, impromptu photo op, when a chartered sightseeing plane pulled up next to his. obama campaign tried to drive a wedge between romney and the reliable constituency today. i have a cuing him of threatening veteran benefit with the planned spending cut. romney threw it back at the president. >> given the need of the veterans how in world as command
a new fox news poll showing president obama with a five-point lead nationally. 48-43%. unchanged from earlier in month and within the margin of error but a significant shift from before the convention. >> 136,000 jobs will be lost in virginia. >> if f the candidate is getting anxious, you wouldn't know it. as he hammered president obama as defense cut in looming sequestration of the american legion post. >> it's still a troubled and dangerous world. the idea of cutting our...
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they are not there for romney but they are there because they do not like obama. the talk of polls being off because of the 2008 turn out model, let me explain to people that since 2008 there have been millions of new voters who is come into the voting process who are young people, who turned 18 in 2009 and 2010 and 2011 and 2012. there are a lot more people available to vote. for obama the demographic is the right one including a number new hispanic voters who are legal. >>neil: actually i agree with you. to republicans who try to say they are skewed, they may or may not be, i have no idea, but they are beyond the margin of error. you remind me yourself, that can change. for now i would not take comfort in the possibility they are all rigged. to the bigger point of where we stand right now, you have been through elections where the lead is up-and-down and even mondale led. what gets the math to coalesce around a guy? >>guest: the history of this thing, for 50 years people who have been ahead at this stage in the presidential race have always won. it is --. >>neil
they are not there for romney but they are there because they do not like obama. the talk of polls being off because of the 2008 turn out model, let me explain to people that since 2008 there have been millions of new voters who is come into the voting process who are young people, who turned 18 in 2009 and 2010 and 2011 and 2012. there are a lot more people available to vote. for obama the demographic is the right one including a number new hispanic voters who are legal. >>neil: actually...
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Oct 2, 2012
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according to the average of all pennsylvania polls, president obama has a sizable lead. democrats have fought the law furiously because in the past lower town out has benefited republicans in pennsylvania. the state acknowledged in court that there has never been a case of in person voter fraud in pennsylvania. now like for us in new york city with more on that. what will happen come election day? >>reporter: trace, believe it or not on election day poll workers will ask for your photo i.d. in pennsylvania but voters do not have to show up. the judge simpson led the law stay in place ruling it is constitutional but not for this election in november. he was concerned not enough people have photo i.d.'s so far and there are concerns about people voting by provisional ballot and under the law having to prove who they are in six days. he ruled, "i expected morphoto i.d.es to have been issued and the remaining five weeks before the general election." opponents are thrilled. >> the united states of america, the hallmark of our democracy, is universal suffrage. we are known aro
according to the average of all pennsylvania polls, president obama has a sizable lead. democrats have fought the law furiously because in the past lower town out has benefited republicans in pennsylvania. the state acknowledged in court that there has never been a case of in person voter fraud in pennsylvania. now like for us in new york city with more on that. what will happen come election day? >>reporter: trace, believe it or not on election day poll workers will ask for your photo...
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now, the last poll, he is down only 9 points. romney to obama. this is a danger zone for president obama. >> bill: maybe. it depends the young vote when they turn out or don't turn out. now, when you confronted the vice president. that's as close as you could get, right? >> yes, right. >> bill: were there secret service guys keeping the press away. >> they put the press in a chain linked fence. they had us chained in. we got some general admission tickets. we put our normal hats on and went in with a handy cam. when he finished we beelined v.p. before the veto service got there. >> no press availability there. >> no. >> you couldn't ask him any questions. >> no. >> you bought a ticket and got in with hand held and you asked him that. >> yes. >> do you think he actually heard you? >> i don't think he did. i could tell he heard me because he went the other way afterwards. >> usually when my name is mentioned that's what happens. i don't think heal come in here. >> why would obama let him come on here is the real question. >> he should because he ba
now, the last poll, he is down only 9 points. romney to obama. this is a danger zone for president obama. >> bill: maybe. it depends the young vote when they turn out or don't turn out. now, when you confronted the vice president. that's as close as you could get, right? >> yes, right. >> bill: were there secret service guys keeping the press away. >> they put the press in a chain linked fence. they had us chained in. we got some general admission tickets. we put our...
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meantime new "fox news" polling showing governor romney is losing some ground to president obama among likely voters nationwide. the president, now leading, compared to how things stood before the conventions, when governor romney held a slight edge. joining me now to talk about it with his take, stephen hayes, columnist for "the weekly standard." so since the convention, steven, you know the president has increased his overall lead by five points, yet huge numbers of likely voters, want to show you this, 73%, think that many policies need to change. how is it possible, i mean that's a big number, 73%. how is it possible that an incumbent leads when so many voters want change? >> isn't that an absolutely fascinating result? putting those two poll numbers up against one another. i think explained by basically two factors. one, the president still has an advantage at likeability question. you know, one of these things that is hard to test and there are reasons, reasons that we don't entirely understand, that voters choose one candidate over another but in poll after poll, president obama
meantime new "fox news" polling showing governor romney is losing some ground to president obama among likely voters nationwide. the president, now leading, compared to how things stood before the conventions, when governor romney held a slight edge. joining me now to talk about it with his take, stephen hayes, columnist for "the weekly standard." so since the convention, steven, you know the president has increased his overall lead by five points, yet huge numbers of likely...
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Oct 3, 2012
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>>guest: i think that virginia is a toss up state right now notwithstanding the polls. people will say one thing and do another. many people will be voting for obama would will say to pollsters that they vote for obama. the issue is, whether they will be exercised and excited to town out for obama, the same degree of excitement is not prevalent. >>neil: you are not in the camp that there is a "fix" in the polls but you think they can be skewed? >>guest: i don't rely on the polls. i talk to pundits around the country and the state i can tell you that many of them believe that if the election were hold today the likelihood would be that romney would not be the winner. on the other hand, they would tell you that in the percentage of error of plus or minus three or four, this state is still considered by many to be a toss up. i consider it a toss up state. >>neil: we shall see, governor. always a pleasure. the president has arrived. the airport is a long way from here. about four four loco -- four hours from here. so fast and smooth, you'll forget you had heartburn. ♪ tum
>>guest: i think that virginia is a toss up state right now notwithstanding the polls. people will say one thing and do another. many people will be voting for obama would will say to pollsters that they vote for obama. the issue is, whether they will be exercised and excited to town out for obama, the same degree of excitement is not prevalent. >>neil: you are not in the camp that there is a "fix" in the polls but you think they can be skewed? >>guest: i don't rely...
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megyn: the latest poll shows obama up 1 point in your state. 1 point. he needs -- governor romney needs to win florida. why do you think he's not higher? >> the governor? it's going to be a close race. flares always close. remember 2000? even in 2008 walt advantages barack obama tbhilt he only won by handful of points in 2008. i think every election will be very close in these states because of the nature of american politics these days and how it many broken out demographically and people's political preferences. we expect to be close until the end. people have known barack obama for four years. this is a state he won. the fund amount tall question is why isn't he leading by more? and he's not because his promises have failed america because the middle class has been buried the last four years and we can do so much better than this. megyn: i think we have the comment cued up. take a listen. >> this is deadly earnest, man, this is deadly earnest. how they can justify, how they can justify raising taxes on the middle class that's been buried the last fou
megyn: the latest poll shows obama up 1 point in your state. 1 point. he needs -- governor romney needs to win florida. why do you think he's not higher? >> the governor? it's going to be a close race. flares always close. remember 2000? even in 2008 walt advantages barack obama tbhilt he only won by handful of points in 2008. i think every election will be very close in these states because of the nature of american politics these days and how it many broken out demographically and...